This week we’re looking at the CA-45 race in Southern California between Republican incumbent Michelle Steel and her Democratic challenger Derek Tran. This is considered one of the most hotly contested races nationally. The district includes parts of Orange County as well as a small part of Los Angeles County and is home to one of the nation’s highest concentrations of Asian Americans.
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This week we feature yet another California rematch. In this newly draw CA-13, in the San Joaquin Valley, incumbent freshman John Duarte (GOP) faces challenger and Democrat Adam Gray in this district that was newly drawn after the 2020 Census redistricting process.
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This week we’re looking at another California rematch: in CA-22. Democrat Rudy Salas is back for another shot at this House seat held by incumbent Republican Rep. David Valadao in this highly competitive district, one with a long history of bouncing back and forth between the two parties. Redistricting has changed the regions included in this district, which is located in the San Joaquin Valley, yet it remains a toss-up.
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In 2022, we identified the CA-41 in Riverside County in Southern California as a flippable district in the 2022 midterm election, and continued to do so in the 2024 rematch between incumbent Republican Ken Calvert and the Dem challenger, Will Rollins, despite Rollins’ 2022 loss by over 11,000 votes (4.6 percentage points) out of over 239,000 votes cast.
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Republicans have made it abundantly clear that they cannot be entrusted to control the U.S. House of Representatives. Whether it’s dragging their feet to fund the most critical functions of our military and social safety nets, failing to ensure that we comply with international pacts, or refusing to respond to unanticipated crises like the tragic destruction of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, they have proven they need to give up the reins.
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Drawn as a white-majority district by the California Redistricting Commission in 2022, it is considered one of only three competitive toss-up districts in the state by the Commission.
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